Publications

Selected publications

This is a selection highlighting representative and notable research publications. Last author in bold indicates senior author. For a more complete list see my . If you have trouble accessing any of our publications, email me and I will send you a pdf. Links to model or analysis code and data are usually available from the publication or from our .

  • Driscoll DA et al (2024). Biodiversity impacts of the 2019–2020 Australian megafires. 635:898-905.
  • Durkee LF, Olazcuaga L, Melbourne BA, Hufbauer RA (2024). Immigration delays but does not prevent adaptation following environmental change: experimental evidence. voae031.
  • Tittes S, Weiss-Lehman C, Kane N, Hufbauer RA, Emery N, Melbourne BA (2024). Evolution is more repeatable in the introduction versus range expansion phase of colonization. qrad063.
  • Nordstrom SW, Hufbauer RA, Olazcuaga L, Durkee LF, Melbourne BA (2023). How density dependence, genetic erosion, and the extinction vortex impact evolutionary rescue. 290:20231228.
  • Olazcuaga L, Lincke B, DeLacey S, Durkee LF, Melbourne BA, Hufbauer RA (2023). Population demographic history and evolutionary rescue: Influence of a bottleneck event. 16:1483-1495.
  • Koontz MJ et al (2022). Democratizing macroecology: integrating unoccupied aerial systems with the National Ecological Observatory Network. 13:e4206.
  • Li D et al (2022). Standardized NEON organismal data for biodiversity research. 13:e4141.
  • Dallas T, Melbourne BA, Legault G, Hastings A (2021). Initial abundance and stochasticity influence competitive outcome in communities. 90:1691-1700.
  • Legault G, Bitters ME, Hastings A, Melbourne BA (2020). lnterspecific competition slows range expansion and shapes range boundaries. 117:26854-26860.
  • Legault G, Melbourne BA (2019). Accounting for environmental change in continuous-time stochastic population models. 12:31-48.
  • Legault G, Fox JW, Melbourne BA (2019). Demographic stochasticity alters expected outcomes in experimental and simulated non-neutral communities. 128:1704-1715.
  • Weiss-Lehman C, Tittes S, Kane NC, Hufbauer RA, Melbourne BA (2019). Stochastic processes drive rapid genomic divergence during experimental range expansions. 286:20190231.
  • White ER, Cox K, Melbourne BA, Hastings A (2019). Success and failure of ecological management is highly variable in an experimental test. 116: 23169-23173.
  • Evans MJ, Banks SC, Driscoll DA, Hicks AJ, Melbourne BA, Davies KF (2017). Short- and long-term effects of habitat fragmentation differ but are predicted by response to the matrix. 98:807-819.
  • Szűcs M, Melbourne BA, Tuff T, Weiss-Lehman C, Hufbauer RA (2017). Genetic and demographic founder effects have long-term fitness consequences for colonising populations. 20:436-444.
  • Szűcs M, Vahsen ML, Melbourne BA, Hoover C, Weiss-Lehman C, Hufbauer RA (2017). Rapid adaptive evolution in novel environments acts as an architect of population range expansion. 114:13501-13506.
  • Weiss-Lehman C, Davies KF, Clements C, Melbourne BA (2017). Estimating extinction risk with minimal data. 213:194-202.
  • Weiss-Lehman C, Hufbauer RA, Melbourne BA (2017). Rapid trait evolution drives increased speed and variance in experimental range expansions. 8:14303.
  • Grace JB et al. () (2016). Integrative modelling reveals mechanisms linking productivity and plant species richness. Ìý529:360-393.
  • Shoemaker LG & Melbourne BA (2016). Linking metacommunity paradigms to spatial coexistence mechanisms. Ìý97:2436-2446.
  • Tucker CM, Shoemaker LG, Davies KF, Nemergut DR, Melbourne BA (2016). Differentiating between niche and neutral assembly in metacommunities using null models of β-diversity. Ìý125:778-789.
  • Haddad NM et al. (2015), Habitat fragmentation and its lasting impact on Earth’s ecosystems. Ìý1:±ð1500052.
  • Hufbauer RA, Szűcs M, Kasyon E, Youngberg C, Koontz MJ, Richards C, Tuff T, Melbourne BA (2015). Three types of rescue can avert extinction in a changing environment. Ìý112:10557–10562.
  • Borer ET, et al. () (2014). Herbivores and nutrients control grassland plant diversity via light limitation. Ìý508:517-520.
  • Hautier Y, et al. () (2014). Eutrophication weakens stabilizing effects of diversity in natural grasslands. Ìý508:521-525.
  • Szucs M, Melbourne BA, Tuff T, Hufbauer RA (2014). The roles of demography and genetics in the early stages of colonization. Ìý281:20141073.
  • Melbourne BA (2012). Demographic Stochasticity. In A. Hastings and L. J. Gross eds. . pp 706-712, Berkeley, University of California Press. Preprint.
  • Adler PB et al. () (2011). Productivity is a poor predictor of plant species richness. Ìý333:1750-1753.
  • Davies KF, Melbourne BA, James CG, Cunningham RB (2010). Using traits of species to understand responses to land use change: birds and livestock grazing in the Australian arid zone. Ìý143:78-85.
  • Melbourne BA & Hastings A (2009). Highly variable spread rates in replicated biological invasions: fundamental limits to predictability.  325:1536-1539. Most of the interesting math is in the !
  • Melbourne BA & Hastings A (2008). Extinction risk depends strongly on factors contributing to stochasticity.  454:100-103. Most of the interesting math is in the !
  • Melbourne BA, Cornell HV, Davies KF, Dugaw CJ, Elmendorf S, Freestone AL, Hall RJ, Harrison S, Hastings A, Holland M, Holyoak M, Lambrinos J, Moore K, Yokomizo H (2007). Invasion in a heterogeneous world: resistance, coexistence or hostile takeover?  10:77-94. A top 20 Ecology Letters most read paper in 2007.
  • Melbourne BA & Chesson P (2006). The scale transition: scaling up population dynamics with field data. Ìý87:1478-1488.Ìý
  • Melbourne BA & Chesson P (2005). Scaling up population dynamics: integrating theory and data.  145:179-187. Special issue: scaling up in ecology. C code.
  • Melbourne BA, Sears AL, Donahue MJ, Chesson P (2005). Applying scale transition theory to metacommunities in the field. In M. Holyoak, M. A. Leibold and R. D. Holt eds. . Chicago, University of Chicago Press. pp 307-330. Preprint. Errata.
  • Chesson P, Donahue MJ, Melbourne BA, Sears AL (2005). Scale transition theory for understanding mechanisms in metacommunities. In M. Holyoak, M. A. Leibold and R. D. Holt eds. . Chicago, University of Chicago Press. pp 279-306. Preprint.
  • Hastings A, Cuddington K, Davies KF, Dugaw CJ, Elmendorf S, Freestone A, Harrison S, Holland M, Lambrinos J, Malvadkar U, Melbourne BA, Moore K, Taylor C, Thomson D (2005). The spatial spread of invasions: new developments in theory and evidence. Ìý8:91-101.
  • Davies KF, Melbourne BA & Margules CR (2001). Effects of within- and between-patch processes on community dynamics in a fragmentation experiment. Ìý82:1830-1846.